Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karpaty · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Karpaty are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gais are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Karpaty hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Karpaty holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karpaty
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Karpaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80