Karpatyvs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karpaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Karpaty 1-0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Karpaty 2-2 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Original prediction
Karpaty
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 55.2% | 57.7% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.4% | 26.4% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.54 | 20.3% | 15.9% | -4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Projected Score
Karpaty 1–0 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Karpaty
Probability
57.7%
Model confidence
57.7%
Karpaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KarpatyLWDWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Epitsentr DunayivtsiLDLLW
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
KarpatyEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
62.5Attack25.0
75.0Defence70.8
58.3Form37.5
64.3Power44.8
1.29xG0.43