Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karpaty · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Karpaty are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Bukovyna are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Karpaty hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (72.2 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Persha Liga, while Karpaty holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karpaty
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Karpaty has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/1.00