GGOALVIO

Ukraine · U19 League · 10/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karpaty Lviv U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Karpaty Lviv U19 2-0 Zhytomyr U19

Original prediction

Karpaty Lviv U19

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 18:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8748.2%49.5%1.2 pts
Draw4.0122.5%25.6%3.1 pts
Away3.0829.3%24.9%-4.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–013%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

Karpaty Lviv U19

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

Karpaty Lviv U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karpaty Lviv U19LWWWL

GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Zhytomyr U19LWWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Karpaty Lviv U19Zhytomyr U19
75.0Attack29.2
58.3Defence62.5
66.7Form41.7
65.8Power46.8
1.93xG0.76
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