GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/17/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Trostianets · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Karpaty II are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Trostianets are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Trostianets hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Druha Liga, while Trostianets holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Trostianets

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

34.3%

Trostianets has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karpaty IIDDDDW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
TrostianetsDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Karpaty IITrostianets
46.7Attack33.3
48.0Defence83.3
48.0Form50.0
48.6Power56.2
1.35xG1.36
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