GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/8/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karpaty II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Karpaty II are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Real Pharm are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Karpaty II hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.1% in the Druha Liga, while Karpaty II holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karpaty II

Probability

65.1%

Model confidence

65.1%

Karpaty II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karpaty IILLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.67/2.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 2/3
Real PharmLDWWL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Karpaty IIReal Pharm
46.7Attack22.2
48.0Defence34.6
48.0Form21.0
48.6Power28.7
2.10xG0.74
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