GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 4/7/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karpaty II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Karpaty II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nyva Vinnytsya are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyva Vinnytsya hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Druha Liga, while Karpaty II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karpaty II

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Karpaty II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karpaty IIDDWWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Nyva VinnytsyaDLWDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Karpaty IINyva Vinnytsya
46.7Attack55.6
48.0Defence44.4
48.0Form44.4
48.6Power51.1
1.55xG1.48
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