GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 9/18/2023, 9:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karpaty II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Karpaty II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Metalurh Zaporizhya II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Karpaty II hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.9% in the Druha Liga, while Karpaty II holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karpaty II

Probability

62.9%

Model confidence

62.9%

Karpaty II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karpaty IIWWLLW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Metalurh Zaporizhya IILLLWW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Karpaty IIMetalurh Zaporizhya II
46.7Attack24.6
48.0Defence36.2
48.0Form33.3
48.6Power33.8
2.01xG0.76
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