GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 5/12/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karpaty II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Karpaty II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lokomotiv Kyiv are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Karpaty II hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Druha Liga, while Karpaty II holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karpaty II

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

Karpaty II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karpaty IILLWDD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Lokomotiv KyivDWWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Karpaty IILokomotiv Kyiv
46.7Attack44.9
48.0Defence44.9
48.0Form38.5
48.6Power43.7
1.69xG1.27
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