GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 10/11/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Karpaty II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Druzhba are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Druzhba hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 76.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.5% in the Druha Liga, while Druzhba holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

68.5%

Model confidence

68.5%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karpaty IILWLWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DruzhbaWWWWL

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Karpaty IIDruzhba
46.7Attack74.7
48.0Defence81.3
48.0Form78.7
48.6Power76.4
0.77xG2.32
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