Karonga Unitedvs
Moyale Barracks
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 6/28/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Karonga United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Moyale Barracks are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Moyale Barracks hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00