GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 7/4/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karonga United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Karonga United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dedza Dynamos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Karonga United hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.1% in the Super League, while Karonga United holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karonga United

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

16.1%

Karonga United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karonga UnitedDLWLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Dedza DynamosDLWLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Karonga UnitedDedza Dynamos
36.1Attack22.2
41.7Defence50.0
33.3Form33.3
40.0Power37.8
1.17xG0.74
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