Karonga Unitedvs
Dedza Dynamos
COMPLETEDMalawi · Super League · 7/4/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karonga United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Karonga United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Dedza Dynamos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Karonga United hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 37.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.1% in the Super League, while Karonga United holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karonga United
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
16.1%
Karonga United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00