GGOALVIO

Malawi · Super League · 4/22/2023, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Karonga United are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chitipa United are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Chitipa United hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 48.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Super League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karonga UnitedD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Chitipa UnitedL

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Karonga UnitedChitipa United
36.1Attack25.6
41.7Defence61.5
33.3Form48.7
40.0Power48.2
0.87xG0.84
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