Karmiotissavs
Pafos
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 8/30/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pafos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karmiotissa 0-3 Pafos
Original prediction
Pafos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.81 | 7.8% | 13.4% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.89 | 15.7% | 18.2% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.20 | 76.5% | 68.4% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Pafos
Probability
68.4%
Model confidence
68.4%
Pafos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KarmiotissaWLWWL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PafosWDDLW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
KarmiotissaPafos
48.3Attack55.6
35.8Defence69.4
33.3Form57.4
40.7Power60.6
0.90xG2.07