Karmiotissavs
Omonia Nicosia
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omonia Nicosia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karmiotissa 0-3 Omonia Nicosia
Original prediction
Omonia Nicosia
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13.54 | 6.8% | 20.1% | 13.2 pts |
| Draw | 6.55 | 14.1% | 23.1% | 9.0 pts |
| Away | 1.17 | 79.1% | 56.8% | -22.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Omonia Nicosia
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
56.8%
Omonia Nicosia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60