Karmiotissavs
Omonia Aradippou
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 9/12/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Omonia Aradippou · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karmiotissa 1-1 Omonia Aradippou
Original prediction
Omonia Aradippou
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.7% | 30.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.9% | 27.2% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 39.5% | 41.9% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Omonia Aradippou
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Omonia Aradippou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20