Karmiotissavs
Apollon Limassol
COMPLETEDCyprus · 1. Division · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Apollon Limassol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karmiotissa 0-5 Apollon Limassol
Original prediction
Apollon Limassol
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.49 | 14.1% | 16.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.24 | 21.5% | 20.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.42 | 64.4% | 62.3% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Apollon Limassol
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
62.3%
Apollon Limassol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60