Karlsruher SCvs
VfL Wolfsburg
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlsruher SC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karlsruher SC 2-5 VfL Wolfsburg
Original prediction
Karlsruher SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 27.8% | 36.5% | 8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.2% | 27.4% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.00 | 47.0% | 36.1% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Karlsruher SC
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Karlsruher SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20