Karlsruher SCvs
SV Darmstadt 98
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/18/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlsruher SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karlsruher SC 4-0 SV Darmstadt 98
Original prediction
Karlsruher SC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 42.1% | 37.7% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.9% | 24.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.82 | 33.0% | 37.5% | 4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Karlsruher SC
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Karlsruher SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00