Karlsruher SCvs
FC Nurnberg
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Nurnberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-3 (8%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karlsruher SC 0-1 FC Nurnberg
Original prediction
FC Nurnberg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 32.9% | 23.1% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 24.0% | 21.3% | -2.8 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 43.1% | 55.6% | 12.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
FC Nurnberg
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
FC Nurnberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40