Karlskronavs
Räppe
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlskrona · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Karlskrona 4-0 Räppe, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Karlskrona 4-0 Räppe
Original prediction
Karlskrona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 09:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.20 | 75.1% | 89.4% | 14.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.96 | 15.2% | 7.1% | -8.0 pts |
| Away | 9.28 | 9.7% | 3.5% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.20 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.2 pts
Projected Score
Karlskrona 4–0 Räppe
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Karlskrona
Probability
89.4%
Model confidence
89.4%
Karlskrona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KarlskronaLWWWW
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
RäppeLLDWL
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
KarlskronaRäppe
85.3Attack34.7
69.3Defence26.7
80.0Form24.0
76.7Power30.9
4.50xG0.52