Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karlshamn 1-2 Torns
Original prediction
Torns
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 39.9% | 37.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.1% | 20.5% | -4.6 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.0% | 41.6% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Torns
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Torns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KarlshamnLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
TornsLLLLL
GF 5 · GA 19 · avg 1.00/3.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
KarlshamnTorns
35.0Attack45.0
16.7Defence6.7
18.3Form30.0
26.2Power30.2
1.96xG2.14