Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Österlen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Karlshamn are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Österlen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Österlen hold a 26.9-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Österlen holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Österlen
Probability
66.7%
Model confidence
66.7%
Österlen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80