Karlshamnvs
Staffanstorp United
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Staffanstorp United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karlshamn 0-2 Staffanstorp United
Original prediction
Staffanstorp United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.60 | 35.6% | 22.8% | -12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.7% | 19.2% | -5.5 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 39.7% | 58.0% | 18.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Staffanstorp United
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Staffanstorp United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40