Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Karlshamn are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Linero are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Linero hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Linero holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Linero
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
9.3%
Linero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00