Karlshamnvs
Karlskrona
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlskrona · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Karlshamn 0-4 Karlskrona, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Karlshamn 1-4 Karlskrona
Original prediction
Karlskrona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.78 | 13.3% | 4.6% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.75 | 19.0% | 8.4% | -10.7 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 67.6% | 87.0% | 19.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.4 pts
Projected Score
Karlshamn 0–4 Karlskrona
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Karlskrona
Probability
87.0%
Model confidence
87.0%
Karlskrona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
KarlshamnLLLWL
GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
KarlskronaWWWWW
GF 15 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
KarlshamnKarlskrona
34.8Attack86.4
15.2Defence71.2
16.7Form81.8
25.2Power78.1
0.57xG4.50