Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-3
Karlshamn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Berga are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Berga hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (26.1 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.9% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Berga holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Berga
Probability
81.9%
Model confidence
81.9%
Berga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80