GGOALVIO

Croatia · Second NL · 8/26/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karlovac 1919 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Karlovac 1919 are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Trnje are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 3 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlovac 1919 hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.2% in the Second NL, while Karlovac 1919 holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karlovac 1919

Probability

61.2%

Model confidence

61.2%

Karlovac 1919 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karlovac 1919W

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
TrnjeWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Karlovac 1919Trnje
47.8Attack33.3
63.3Defence45.6
62.2Form36.7
59.2Power40.2
1.78xG0.64
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