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Saturday, 1 August 202610:00Updated today
Karlovac 1919

Karlovac 1919

Home
L
vs
10:00
Koprivnica

Koprivnica

Away
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Koprivnica33%
Karlovac 191933%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Karlovac 1919
33%
Draw
33%
Koprivnica
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.51 xG for Karlovac 1919 and 0.90 xG for Koprivnica. Koprivnica's projected xG of 0.90 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.41 — moderate attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.

xG for (Karlovac 1919)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Karlovac 1919)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Karlovac 1919Karlovac 1919
L

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Karlovac 191933%
Draw33%
Koprivnica33%

Koprivnica leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Karlovac 1919 vs Koprivnica: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Karlovac 1919 host Koprivnica in Friendlies Clubs. Karlovac 1919 have recorded LDLLWW in recent matches while Koprivnica arrive with a run of WWWLLL.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 1.51 for Karlovac 1919 and 0.90 for Koprivnica. The gap of 0.62 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Karlovac 1919

Karlovac 1919

L
@ Orijent 1919
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Karlovac 1919 vs Koprivnica?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Karlovac 1919 vs Koprivnica?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Karlovac 1919 vs Koprivnica?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Karlovac 1919 vs Koprivnica?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more