GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karlovac 1919 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Karlovac 1919 3-1 Hrvace

Original prediction

Karlovac 1919

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8548.7%42.7%-6.0 pts
Draw3.3227.1%28.6%1.5 pts
Away3.7224.2%28.7%4.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-6.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.0–011%

Predicted outcome

Karlovac 1919

Probability

42.7%

Model confidence

42.7%

Karlovac 1919 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karlovac 1919DWWLD

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HrvaceLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Karlovac 1919Hrvace
66.7Attack0.0
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
1.37xG1.00
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