Karlovac 1919vs
Dubrava Zagreb
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/20/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlovac 1919 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karlovac 1919 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb
Original prediction
Karlovac 1919
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 49.1% | 40.9% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 28.6% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.78 | 23.9% | 30.5% | 6.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Karlovac 1919
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Karlovac 1919 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20