GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Karlovac 1919 0-0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Karlovac 1919 3-2 Bsk Bijelo Brdo

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5834.9%34.3%-0.6 pts
Draw2.9330.8%31.4%0.7 pts
Away2.6234.4%34.3%-0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.7 pts

Projected Score

Karlovac 1919 0–0 Bsk Bijelo Brdo

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.4%

Model confidence

34.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karlovac 1919DLWLW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Bsk Bijelo BrdoDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Karlovac 1919Bsk Bijelo Brdo
44.4Attack38.1
61.1Defence71.4
44.4Form61.9
52.0Power60.4
0.93xG0.93
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