Karlbergvs
Stockholm Internazionale
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stockholm Internazionale · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karlberg 0-2 Stockholm Internazionale
Original prediction
Stockholm Internazionale
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.92 | 15.2% | 24.2% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.26 | 21.1% | 25.2% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 63.7% | 50.6% | -13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Stockholm Internazionale
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Stockholm Internazionale has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00