Karlbergvs
Sollentuna
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karlberg 3-2 Sollentuna
Original prediction
Karlberg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.6% | 40.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.5% | 27.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 31.9% | 32.5% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20