Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Karlberg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Skiljebo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (72.6 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40