GGOALVIO

Sweden · Division 2 - Norra Svealand · 6/18/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Karlberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sandvikens AIK are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (72.6 v 48.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Karlberg

Probability

74.0%

Model confidence

74.0%

Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

KarlbergWDLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sandvikens AIKDLLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
KarlbergSandvikens AIK
76.9Attack50.0
67.9Defence48.7
75.6Form46.2
72.6Power48.7
2.79xG0.84
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