Ettan - NorraEttan - Norra
Wednesday, 24 June 2026Last updated 10:00
Karlberg

Karlberg

Home
W
31
Full time
Piteå

Piteå

Away
L
Stadshagens IP
GoalVio prediction
40% confidence
Karlberg(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Karlberg
Win probability
Karlberg
40%
Draw
26%
Piteå
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Karlberg
34
Piteå
34
Defence
Karlberg
91
Piteå
6
Momentum
Karlberg
100
Piteå
0
Danger (xG)
Karlberg
0.90
Piteå
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Karlberg)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Piteå)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Karlberg)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Piteå)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
KarlbergKarlberg
WWLD
PiteåPiteå
LWL

Probability breakdown

40% confidence
Karlberg40%
Draw26%
Piteå33%

Karlberg leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Karlberg head into this in Ettan - Norra fixture at Stadshagens IP in mixed form (W), while Piteå arrive in mixed form (L). Karlberg have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Piteå over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Karlberg's modest attack (34/100) faces a vulnerable Piteå defence (6/100), while Piteå's attack is up against a watertight Karlberg backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Karlberg's favour.

Karlberg have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. Piteå have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Karlberg have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Karlberg to win with 40% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Karlberg 4024%, Draw 2638%, Piteå 3339%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Karlberg 1Draws 00 Piteå
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
24 Jun 2026
Karlberg
W31
Piteå

Recent form

Karlberg

Karlberg

W
vs Piteå
24 Jun 2026
31
W
@ Unik FK
10 Jun 2026
10
L
vs Järfälla
16 May 2026
13
D
@ Arlanda
13 May 2026
11
Piteå

Piteå

L
@ Karlberg
24 Jun 2026
13
W
@ Stocksund
17 May 2026
32
L
vs FBK Karlstad
14 May 2026
15

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Karlberg vs Piteå?

GoalVio's model predicts Karlberg to win with 40% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Karlberg vs Piteå?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Karlberg vs Piteå?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Karlberg vs Piteå?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more