Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Karlberg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Järfälla are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (72.6 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80