Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Karlberg are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Gute are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (72.6 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.6% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
77.6%
Model confidence
77.6%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60