Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Karlberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Gefle IF are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
41.5%
Model confidence
41.5%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40