Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Karlberg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Franke are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold a 22.8-point power-rating edge (72.6 v 49.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
72.0%
Model confidence
72.0%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80