Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karlberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Karlberg are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Arlanda are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Karlberg hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (72.6 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.7% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Karlberg holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Karlberg
Probability
64.7%
Model confidence
64.7%
Karlberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 4 · avg 3.20/0.80
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80