Karkonosze Jelenia Góravs
Stilon Gorzów
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 3 · 9/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 4-2 Stilon Gorzów
Original prediction
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.0% | 39.3% | -12.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.2% | 27.8% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 22.8% | 32.9% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20