GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 3 · 8/29/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 0-0 Odra Bytom Odrzański

Original prediction

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1441.4%38.0%-3.4 pts
Draw3.3026.9%28.5%1.6 pts
Away2.8031.7%33.5%1.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karkonosze Jelenia GóraLWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Odra Bytom OdrzańskiLWWWW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraOdra Bytom Odrzański
40.0Attack40.0
80.0Defence93.3
53.3Form80.0
58.6Power72.8
1.09xG1.02
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