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Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

Home
WD
13
Full time
Miedź Legnica II

Miedź Legnica II

Away
WW
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Miedź Legnica II33%
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
33%
Draw
33%
Miedź Legnica II
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
86
Miedź Legnica II
97
Defence
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
46
Miedź Legnica II
91
Momentum
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
67
Miedź Legnica II
100
Danger (xG)
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
2.25
Miedź Legnica II
3.15
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 1.44 xG for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and 1.26 xG for Miedź Legnica II — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.19), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Karkonosze Jelenia Góra)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Miedź Legnica II)
3.15
avg per match
xG against (Karkonosze Jelenia Góra)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Miedź Legnica II)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Karkonosze Jelenia GóraKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
WD
Miedź Legnica IIMiedź Legnica II
WW

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra33%
Draw33%
Miedź Legnica II33%

Miedź Legnica II leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Miedź Legnica II: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra take on Miedź Legnica II in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The draw projection is inherently fragile — a single moment of quality from either side could produce a winner. The model sees no clear favourite, which means the actual result is highly sensitive to in-game events and individual quality.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

W
vs Polonia Nysa
17 May 2026
31
D
@ Słowianin
13 May 2026
22
Miedź Legnica II

Miedź Legnica II

W
vs Pawłowice Śląskie
16 May 2026
60
W
@ Górnik Zabrze II
13 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Miedź Legnica II?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Miedź Legnica II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Miedź Legnica II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Miedź Legnica II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more