Kariobangi Sharksvs
Mombasa Elite
COMPLETEDKenya · FKF Premier League · 10/6/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Kariobangi Sharks 0-0 Mombasa Elite, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Kariobangi Sharks 0-2 Mombasa Elite
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 46.4% | 34.2% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.3% | 32.2% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.82 | 23.3% | 33.6% | 10.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Kariobangi Sharks 0–0 Mombasa Elite
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.2%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Kariobangi SharksLWDDW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mombasa EliteW
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Kariobangi SharksMombasa Elite
29.5Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
36.2Form100.0
45.6Power80.3
0.69xG0.89