Karelavs
Hearts of Oak
COMPLETEDGhana · Premier League · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hearts of Oak · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karela 1-0 Hearts of Oak
Original prediction
Hearts of Oak
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.5% | 31.0% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.76 | 32.4% | 28.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.31 | 27.1% | 40.1% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Hearts of Oak
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Hearts of Oak has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40