GGOALVIO

Hungary · NB II · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Karcag SE · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Karcag SE 1-2 Szeged 2011

Original prediction

Karcag SE

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.1228.7%37.6%9.0 pts
Draw3.0929.0%29.3%0.3 pts
Away2.1142.4%33.0%-9.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

9.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

Karcag SE

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Karcag SE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Karcag SELDLLW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Szeged 2011DLWDD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Karcag SESzeged 2011
48.1Attack29.2
48.1Defence62.5
40.7Form29.2
47.2Power43.3
1.24xG0.91
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