Karcag SEvs
Kozarmisleny FC
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Karcag SE · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karcag SE 1-1 Kozarmisleny FC
Original prediction
Karcag SE
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.1% | 45.0% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.55 | 25.2% | 27.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 3.49 | 25.7% | 27.6% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.55 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Karcag SE
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Karcag SE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60