Karcag SEvs
Fehérvár FC
COMPLETEDHungary · NB II · 8/30/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fehérvár FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Karcag SE 2-1 Fehérvár FC
Original prediction
Fehérvár FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.4% | 31.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.9% | 28.8% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.15 | 41.7% | 39.5% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Fehérvár FC
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Fehérvár FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40